The outcome of your own SAR out of 2005 to help you 2017 is exhibited inside Fig

The outcome of your own SAR out of 2005 to help you 2017 is exhibited inside Fig

13. The median value of SARmm was 2.32 (Range: 1.76–3.86) per 100 000 000 persons. The median value of SARmf was 2.57 (Range: 1.38–3.28) per 100 000 000 persons. The median value of SARfm was 2.76 (Range: 1.84–4.26) per 100 000 000 persons. The median value of SARff was 2.11 (Range: 1.02–3.21) per 100 000 000 persons.

The SARmm, SARmf, SARfm and SARff estimated by model from 2005 to 2017 in Hubei. SAR: secondary attack rate; subscript mm, among male; mf, from male to female; fm, from female to male; ff, among female

Transmissibility in various sex–age groups

The top five values of the transmission relative rate, as indicated in Fig. 14 were ?61 (mean: 5.76 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.96 ? 10 ? 8 to 7.56 ? 10 -8 ), ?29 (mean: 5.32 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.91 ? 10 -8 to 6.74 ? 10 -8 ), ?34 (mean: 4.01 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.19 ? 10 -8 to 4.84 ? 10 -8 ), ?62 (mean: 7.52 ? 10 -9 , 95% CI: 3.23 ? 10 -9 to 1.18 ? 10 -8 ) and ?64 (mean: 6.04 ? 10 -9 , 95% CI: 2.41 ? 10 -9 to 9.67 ? 10 -9 ).

The transmission relative rate in different age and gender groups in 2010. ?0: transmission relative rate within female; ?ij refers to transmission relative rate of gender and age group from i to j, i and j represent subscript 1 to 6, subscript 1 was defined as male and ? 5 years old, 2 was male and between 6 to 59 years old, 3 was male and ? 60 years old, 4 was female and ? 5 years old, 5 was female and between 6 to 59 years old, and 6 was female and ? 60 years old; The data of 2010 were divided into 22 stages based on the following simulated periods, 1: from January 1 to 22, 2: from January 23 to February 5, 3: from February 6 to 18, 4: from February 19 to March 11, 5: from March 12 to 26, 6: from March 27 to April 14, 7: from April 15 to May 17, 8: from May 18 to 23, 9: from May 24 to June 11, 10: from June 12 to 25, 11: from June 26 to July 15, 12: from July 16 to 28, 13: from July 29 to August 23, 14: from August 24 to September 7, 15: from September 8 to 18, 16: from September 19 to October 8, 17: from October 9 to November 2, 18: from November 3 to 15, 19: from November 16 to 23, 20: from November 24 to 30, 21: from December 1 to 18, 22: from December 19 to 31

Susceptibility studies

In line with the one thousand minutes the design went, the brand new model was not sensitive to the brand new variables br, dr, f, q and you can ?’. What amount of instances place were the same into the indicate, indicate – simple deviation (SD) and suggest + SD values (Fig. 15). The design is actually slight delicate having parameters ?, k and you will p (Fig. 16a,b,c). Meanwhile, highest awareness so you can factor ? (0.0741) is displayed, once the illustrated inside the Fig. 16d.

Brand new sensitivity data off parameter br, dr, f, q bride italian and you may ?’. A-male: br = 0.00002838; B-male: dr = 0.00001649; C-male: f = 0; D-male: q = 0.5135; E-male: ?’ = 0.0286; A-female: br = 0.00002838; B-female: dr = 0.00001649; C-female: f = 0; D-female: q = 0.5135; E-female: ?’ = 0.0286

New sensitivity research from factor ?, k, p and you can ?. A-male: ? = 1; B-male: k = 0.3125; C-male: p = 0.1; D-male: ? = 0.0741; A-female: ? = 1; B-female: k = 0.3125; C-female: p = 0.1; D-female: ? = 0.0741

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